
Inference of gravitational lensing and patchy reionization with future CMB data
Federico Bianchini1, 2, 3, ∗and Marius Millea4, 5, †
1Kavli Institute for Particle Astrophysics and Cosmology,
Stanford University, 452 Lomita Mall, Stanford, CA, 94305, USA
2SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, 2575 Sand Hill Road, Menlo Park, CA 94025
3Department of Physics, Stanford University, 382 Via Pueblo Mall, Stanford, CA 94305
4Department of Physics, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720
5Department of Physics, University of California, Davis, CA 95616
(Dated: November 26, 2024)
We develop an optimal Bayesian solution for jointly inferring secondary signals in the Cosmic
Microwave Background (CMB) originating from gravitational lensing and from patchy screening
during the epoch of reionization. This method is able to extract full information content from the
data, improving upon previously considered quadratic estimators for lensing and screening. We
forecast constraints using the Marginal Unbiased Score Expansion (MUSE) method, and show that
they are largely dominated by CMB polarization, and depend on the exact details of reionization.
For models consistent with current data which produce the largest screening signals, a detection
(3 σ) of the cross-correlation between lensing and screening is possible with SPT-3G, and a detection
of the auto-correlation is possible with CMB-S4. Models with the lowest screening signals evade the
sensitivity of SPT-3G, but are still possible to detect with CMB-S4 via their lensing cross-correlation.
I. INTRODUCTION
The large-scale structure (LSS) of the universe is back-
lit by cosmic microwave background (CMB) photons as
they travel from the last scattering surface towards us.
Maps of the CMB anisotropies can therefore be used to
image gravitational potentials – through weak gravita-
tional lensing, integrated Sachs-Wolfe and Rees-Sciama
effects – and the gas distribution – through Thomson and
inverse Compton scattering processes like the Sunyaev-
Zel’dovich effects [e.g., 3,9,33,61,62]. The current gen-
eration of CMB surveys such as Planck [49], SPT [52] and
ACT [4] has started to tap into the promising potential of
these CMB secondary anisotropies. Next-generation ex-
periments – including the Simons Observatory (SO) [58],
FYST/CCAT-prime [5], and CMB-S4 [13] – will provide
a transformative high fidelity view of the secondary CMB
anisotropies in intensity and polarization over large ar-
eas of the sky, revealing fundamental insights into both
cosmology and astrophysics [11].
Mapping out the spatial distribution of diffuse ion-
ized gas throughout the universe can, for example, help
us understand the physics of reionization, at high red-
shifts (z≳6), and of the intergalactic medium (IGM),
at lower redshifts (z≲6) [e.g., 25,42]. One approach
to achieve this is by searching for the characteristic
spatially-dependent suppression of the CMB temperature
and polarization anisotropies produced by different scat-
tering histories along different line of sights, an effect
known as “patchy screening”. The magnitude of the ef-
fect is proportional to e−τ(ˆ
n), where τ(ˆ
n) is the direction-
dependent optical depth.
∗federico.bianxini@gmail.com
†mariusmillea@gmail.com
The so-called “quadratic estimator” (QE) has be-
come the workhorse for extracting sources of statistical
anisotropies, such as patchy screening and lensing, from
CMB maps [e.g., 30,31,67]. The QE in the context of
inhomogeneous optical depth reconstruction has been in-
troduced by Dvorkin & Smith [19] and applied to WMAP
and Planck data in [23,44,46] but the spatial fluctua-
tions of τhave not been detected yet. While the QE
has been successfully used on current datasets, it has
some shortcomings. First, the presence of other distort-
ing fields, like lensing, point-sources, and inhomogeneous
noise, will introduce additional non-Gaussianities in the
data which in turn, lead to biases in the reconstructed
field [60]. “Bias-hardened” estimators offer a solution to
this problem at the cost of a signal-to-noise (S/N) degra-
dation, which can be as large as ≈40% [e.g., 46,60].
Second, the QE will become significantly sub-optimal
at the instrumental noise levels soon-to-be reached by
the most sensitive experiments [2,41]. At these depths,
secondary anisotropies, rather than instrumental noise,
limit the variance of the estimated field. To improve
upon the QE, a variety of methods based on the full
CMB Bayesian posterior have been proposed to extract
the higher-order information and restore near-optimality
[e.g., 10,27,28,38–40]. Machine-learning approaches are
also being currently investigated but while promising, ad-
ditional work towards the characterization of these meth-
ods and their biases is needed before they can be reliably
applied to real data [8,26].
In this paper, we develop a complete Bayesian solution
that unifies the optimal inference of the optical depth τ
and CMB lensing potential ϕtogether with delensing and
cosmological parameter inference. Our method presents
a number of appealing features. First of all, by making
use of the full Bayesian posterior, the method is capable
of optimally extracting the information content in CMB
data at all noise levels. Furthermore, by simultaneously
arXiv:2210.10893v2 [astro-ph.CO] 25 Nov 2024