Sentiment Analysis of ESG disclosures on Stock Market Sudeep R. Bapat1 Saumya Kothari1and Rushil Bansal1 1Indian Institute of Management Indore India

2025-05-03 0 0 800.7KB 9 页 10玖币
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Sentiment Analysis of ESG disclosures on Stock Market
Sudeep R. Bapat1,, Saumya Kothari1and Rushil Bansal1
1Indian Institute of Management Indore, India
Email: sudeepb@iimidr.ac.in
Abstract
In this paper, we look at the impact of Environment, Social and Governance related news articles
and social media data on the stock market performance. We pick four stocks of companies
which are widely known in their domain to understand the complete effect of ESG as the newly
opted investment style remains restricted to only the stocks with widespread information. We
summarize live data of both twitter tweets and newspaper articles and create a sentiment index
using a dictionary technique based on online information for the month of July, 2022. We look
at the stock price data for all the four companies and calculate the percentage change in each
of them. We also compare the overall sentiment of the company to its percentage change over
a specific historical period.
Keywords: ESG, Sentiment Analysis, Composite Score, Tesla, HSBC Bank, Amazon, Goldman
Sachs, Twitter
1 Introduction
Impact Investing as an investment strategy has grown tremendously over the past decade, and
since then, both the investors as well as significant organizations have focused on the Environment,
Social, and Governance aspects of their activities. In this investment style, investors focus on the
positive impact created by their investments and the company’s commitment to serving society
as a whole, starting from their employees, environment, and ethical practices. The rise of impact
investing diversified a company’s focus from just their shareholders to the modern standard of
corporate responsibility as well.
In the stock market, a company’s share price is said to depend on many factors, one of which is
Company Related News. This factor has a wide range of sources, such as newspaper articles, press
releases, social media updates like Twitter tweets, etc. We have observed that the effect of the news
on such forums has a significant impact on the stock market. Hence, with the advent of impact
investing, the focus on such forums has increased as all company activities are critically analyzed
and presented to the public with a focus on ESG considerations. This has led to the emergence
of various scoring and rating solutions by statistical organizations that have subsequently caused
investors to analyze and assess the ESG performance of various companies and integrate the same
into their stock market portfolio. However, such parameters for scoring and rating suffer from
some limitations. The primary limitation is that these scores are based on the company’s voluntary
disclosures of ESG or CSR activities. This leads to a bias in the market as a company tries to
conceal information that has a negative connotation. Secondly, the analysis of such activities is
done on a qualitative basis which relies on the judgment and opinions of the analyst. Therefore,
the reliability of these scores is affected by such limitations and thereby missing the ESG market
timeline relevant to the price change.
Hence, we aim to overcome these challenges and present a relationship between ESG Related
Disclosures and the real-time stock prices of the company. To facilitate this, we aim to provide
real-time Twitter data focusing on the tag “ESG Investing.” Even though the credibility and
robustness of Twitter data is established, we reiterate four primary advantages of our Twitter
arXiv:2210.00731v1 [q-fin.CP] 3 Oct 2022
dataset: First, a fat API pipeline receives real-time tweets from Twitter, making our information
source timely. Tweets are forward-looking because they capture expectation formation and hence
help us overcome the challenge of time lag. Third, unlike rankings computed on arbitrary guidelines
and/or companies’ own reports, Twitter is an open speech forum in that it provides everyone who
feels entitled a voice on a topic of interest can present their analysis. Fourth, from an investment
perspective, most ESG disputes and severe ESG events, such as corporate frauds, have originated
from a whistleblower inside or outside the organization. Nowadays, ESG issues are voiced and
flagged on social media, especially Twitter, which has become the global ”virtual speaker’s corner.”
Hence, Twitter detects anomalies or disruptions in a real-time format. In addition, we have taken
newspaper articles as the other sources to diversify the forums and integrate an official source in
the study, which also considers the press releases and company updates.
Hence, with the help of the dataset of tweets and news, we aim to calculate the sentiment of
each single data point. Subsequently, we will analyze the stock trends of specific companies and
form a correlation between the sentiment of the dataset with the price changes we observe in the
stock.
2 Further Relevant Literature
Firms’ performance in the area of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) issues appear to
be particularly actively scrutinized by their investors and the public, as seen by the establishment
of sustainable investment funds or demand for “green finance” (Gilbert, 2019). The amount and
quality of data available to explore whether and how investors respond to information about a
company’s ESG performance has also evolved. As the empirical evidence to answer this question is
still scarce and contradictory in the academic literature, this paper seeks to fill this research gap by
extracting ESG information from publicly available news articles (Twitter and newspaper article
sources) and investigating its relationship with the stock market performance of four companies’
stocks namely, Amazon, Tesla, HSBC Bank and Goldman Sachs.
We are basing our research on the work of various authors, all of whom have disputed hypotheses,
conclusions, and opinions on the subject. According to (Friedman, 2007), a firm’s only social
responsibility is to generate lawful profits. This viewpoint would imply that any ESG activity
that is not part of a company’s core business should not be undertaken by the company and that
investors should not incorporate ESG-related information into their investment decisions other
than by withdrawing capital from companies that engage in such activities. (Brammer et al,
2006) present supporting evidence for this effect of ESG activities, finding that organizations with
greater social performance scores had lower returns than those with lower social performance scores.
Similarly, (Kr¨uger, 2015) and (Capelle-Blancard and Petit, 2019) find that positive ESG-related
information can hurt a firm’s market value in the near run. (Cheong et al, 2017) discover that most
organizations have a reactionary attitude toward ESG matters, which provides greater insight into
the likely mechanism behind such observations. These corporations participate in ESG activities
excessively only after experiencing poor market and investor sentiment in the preceding year, where
market and investor sentiment is recorded by a modified version of Baker and Wurgler’s index (Baker
and Wurgler, 2006). While this conclusion would simply have ramifications for how altruistic
a company’s motivations behind its ESG initiatives are on its own, (Goss and Roberts, 2011)
demonstrate the potential consequences of such behavior. The authors suggest that corporations’
ESG operations, which are launched in direct response to negative media and investor sentiment,
are frequently regarded as window-dressing, lowering the company’s perceived creditworthiness and
increasing its cost of financing.
2
摘要:

SentimentAnalysisofESGdisclosuresonStockMarketSudeepR.Bapat1;,SaumyaKothari1andRushilBansal11IndianInstituteofManagementIndore,IndiaEmail:sudeepb@iimidr.ac.inAbstractInthispaper,welookattheimpactofEnvironment,SocialandGovernancerelatednewsarticlesandsocialmediadataonthestockmarketperformance.Wepic...

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