BOUNDARY CROSSING PROBLEMS AND FUNCTIONAL TRANSFORMATIONS FOR ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESSES

2025-04-30 0 0 528.47KB 23 页 10玖币
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BOUNDARY CROSSING PROBLEMS AND
FUNCTIONAL TRANSFORMATIONS FOR
ORNSTEIN-UHLENBECK PROCESSES
Aria Ahari1
, Larbi Alili1
, Massimiliano Tamborrino1
1Department of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, United Kingdom.
Abstract
We are interested in the law of the first passage time of an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process
to time-varying thresholds. We show that this problem is connected to the laws of the first
passage time of the process to members of a two-parameter family of functional transforma-
tions of a time-varying boundary. For specific values of the parameters, these transformations
appear in a realisation of a standard Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge. We provide three different
proofs of this connection. The first one is based on a similar result for Brownian motion,
the second uses a generalisation of the so-called Gauss-Markov processes and the third relies
on the Lie group symmetry method. We investigate the properties of these transformations
and study the algebraic and analytical properties of an involution operator which is used in
constructing them. We also show that these transformations map the space of solutions of
Sturm-Liouville equations into the space of solutions of the associated nonlinear ordinary dif-
ferential equations. Lastly, we interpret our results through the method of images and give
new examples of curves with explicit first passage time densities.
Keywords: First passage times; Lie algebras; Sturm-Liouville equations; Orstein-Uhlenbeck;
Fokker Planck equation; Ornstein-Uhlenbck bridge; Brownian motion.
2020 Mathematics Subject Classification: Primary 35K05, 60J50, 60J60.
1 Introduction
Let U:= (Ut)t0be a one-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU for short) process defined on
a filtered probability space (Ω,(F)t0,F,P) as the unique solution to the following stochastic
differential equation (SDE)
dUt=kUtdt +dBt, U0= 0,(1)
where (Bt)t0is a standard Brownian motion (BM) starting at 0 and kRis a constant. The
OU process is a Gauss-Markov process with transition density function given by
pt(x, y) :=
y P(Uty|U0=x) = ekt
pr(t)ϕ yekt x
pr(t)!, x, y R,(2)
where ϕ(z) = ez2
2/2π,zR, is the probability density function of the standard normal
distribution and
r(t) = (e2kt 1)/2k, t 0,
s(t) = ln (2kt + 1)/2k, t ζ(k),
aria.ahari@warwick.ac.uk
l.alili@warwick.ac.uk
massimiliano.tamborrino@warwick.ac.uk
1
arXiv:2210.01658v3 [math.PR] 25 Mar 2024
where
ζ(k)=(1
2kif k < 0;
+otherwise.
It is well known by the Dambis, Dubins-Schwarz theorem (see, e.g., Theorem V.1.6 in [34]), that
the OU process can be written in terms of a time changed BM (Wt)t0as
Ut=ektWr(t), t 0.(3)
Let f∈ C([0,),R) be such that f(0) ̸= 0, with C(I, K) denoting the space of continuous
functions from Iinto Kfor some intervals Iand KR. We are interested in the first passage
time (FPT) of the OU to fgiven by
Tf
k= inf{t > 0; Ut=f(t)},
with inf{∅} =. The main goal of this paper is to derive, through different methods, an explicit
analytical expression linking the distribution of Tf
kto that of TSα,β
kf
k. Here, the two-parameter
family of curves {Sα,β
kf;α̸= 0, β R}is defined by
Sα,β
kf(t) = 1 + αβr(t)
α2kα2r(t)
1 + αβr(t)+ 11/2
ekt fsα2r(t)
1 + αβr(t), t < ζk,α,β,(4)
where
ζk,α,β =
s1
αβ if αβ < 0, k 0;
s1
αβ+2kα2if 0 <2k
αβ+2kα2<1, k < 0;
+otherwise.
By doing so, we generalize the results obtained for a BM in [3], which can be immediately
recovered from ours by letting k0, i.e. Tf
0, Sα,β
0and ζ0,α,β. To simplify the notation and for
consistency with [3], we drop the subscript 0 when referring to the BM.
To the best of our knowledge, explicit results for the FPT of the OU to fonly exist for
constants [1, 36] or hyperbolic type boundaries [13, 15]. Further results for the boundary crossing
problem of Gauss-Markov processes to moving boundaries have been obtained in, e.g., [14, 17,
18, 31]. We also refer to [8, 39] for applications of Lie symmetries to FPT problems. Our main
result, stated in Theorem 3.1, allows to map those results for the law of the FPT of Tf
kto that
of TSα,β
kf
kfor the OU process. Such problems are of great interest, as the OU process has been
used in many applications to model objects such as interest rates in finance or the evolution of
the neuronal membrane voltages in neuroscience, see e.g. [1] and citations therein. In this paper,
we focus on the OU without drift, as the results for the OU process with drift can be directly
obtained from our results after some transformations, as discussed in Remark 3.2.
The paper is organised as follows. In Subsection 2.1, we introduce some notations and provide
the key results for the Sα,β operator for the BM. The OU functional setting is presented in
Subsection 2.2. In Subsection 2.3, we recall the different constructions of OU bridges and their
properties. In particular, the process (S1,1/r(T)
kUt,0< t T) has the same law as an OU bridge
of length Tfrom 0 to 0, for some T > 0. Section 3 is devoted to the statement of Theorem 3.1,
which contains the main result of the paper, and two examples of its application. In Section 4,
we discuss the properties of the Sα,β
kftransformation with its connection to a certain nonlinear
differential equation (Lemma 4.1), while in Section 5, we prove Theorem 3.1 in three different
ways. In the first proof, we use the relationship between the FPT of an OU and that of a BM.
In the second one, we use a generalisation of the Gauss-Markov processes introduced in Section
3.2 of [3] and find an analogue version of that proof in our case. In the third one, we use the
2
Lie algebra to find the symmetries of the Fokker-Planck equation or the Kolmogorov forward
differential equation
h
t =1
2
2h
x2+kxh
x +kh. (5)
Then, we use these symmetries to construct the function hα,β
kof equation (30), derive our
transformation Sα,β
kfand relate the FPT distribution of Tf
kto that of TSα,β f
k, in Section 5.3. In
Section 6, we discuss the asymptotic distribution of TSα,β
kf
kand the transience of the transformed
curves Sα,β
kf. We provide the analogue of the Kolmogorov–Erd¨os–Petrovski transience test [19]
in the OU case and show its connection to the asymptotic behaviour of the FPT. Lastly, in
Section 7, we use the method of images to obtain new classes of boundaries yielding explicit FPT
distributions and use our Sα,β
kftransformation (4) to produce new examples. A limitation of this
method is that it only works for boundaries with certain properties given in Lemma 7.1.
As we were finalising the paper, we discovered that the Sα,β
ktransformation, a variant of
the boundary crossing identity (18) in Theorem 3.1 and the Lie symmetries (31) had previously
appeared in [28] (our (4) can be obtained by setting A=k2and B= 0 in equation (39) therein),
using the Lie approach. When comparing our results, we found misprints in one of their Lie
symmetries and boundary crossing identity, as discussed in Section 5.3.
2 Notation and preliminaries
We first introduce some functional spaces, transformations and related results for the BM, as
in [3], in Subsection 2.1, and then define the corresponding functional objects for the OU in
Subsection 2.2. We end this section by providing different representations of OU bridges and
highlighting their connection to our functional transformations.
2.1 Brownian motion setting
We start by introducing a nonlinear operator τdefined on the space of functions whose reciprocals
are square integrable in some (possibly infinite) interval of R+= [0,) by
τf (t) = Zt
0
f2(z)dz,
and use it to define
A=[
a>0[
b>0
A(a, b) and A(a, b) = ±f∈ C([0, a],R+) : τf (a) = b,
where a, b R+. In [3], the authors derived the following relationship between the laws of the
FPTs of Tfand TSα,β f,
P(TSα,β fdt) = α3(1 + αβt)5
2eαβ
2(1+αβt)(Sα,β f(t))2Sα,β(P(Tfdt)), t < ζ0,α,β,(6)
where Sα,β is the two-parameter family of transformations Sα,β :AAgiven by
Sα,βf(t) = 1 + αβt
αfα2t
1 + αβt, α ̸= 0, β R.(7)
Equation (6) extends a previous result by the same authors for a relationship between the laws
of the FPT of Tfand TS1f, with the one-parameter family of transformations {S1 f, β R}
obtained using the construction of Brownian bridges, see [2]. The connection to Brownian bridges
naturally appears as (S1,1/T (B)t,0t<T) is a Brownian bridge of length Tfrom 0 to 0, see
3
page 64 of [11]. Besides deriving (6) in [3], the authors showed also that the transformation Sα,β
can be obtained as
Sα,β = Σ Πα,βΣ (8)
where denotes the composition operator. Here, Σ : AAis the involution operator, i.e.,
ΣΣ = Id, specified by
Σf(t) = 1
f(ρτf (t)),
where ρis the inversion operator acting on the space of continuous monotone functions i.e.,
ρf f(t) = t. For αR=R\{0}, β R, Πα,β :AAis the family of nonlinear operators
given by
Πα,βf(t) = f(t)(α+βτ f(t)).(9)
As explained in the beginning of Section 2 of [3] and Appendix 8 of [34], the operators (9) are
closely related to the Sturm-Liouville equation
ϕ′′ =µϕ, (10)
where µdenotes a positive Radon measure on R+and ϕ′′ is the second derivative in the sense of
distributions. In fact, if ϕsolves (10), then the vectorial space {Πα,β ϕ;α̸= 0, β R}is the set of
other solutions to the same equation. Moreover, all positive solutions are convex and described
by the set {Πα,β φ;α > 0, β 0}, where φis the unique, positive, decreasing solution such that
φ(0) = 1.
Moreover, it was noted in [3] that Sα,β Sα=Sαα,αβ+β
α, for all couples (α, β) and (α, β)
R×R, and that (S1)β0is a semi-group, while (S1)βRand (Seα,0)αRare groups.
2.2 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck setting
We shall now define the operators of interest on the space of functions
Ak,=[
a>0[
b>0
Ak(a, b),(11)
where a, b R+, and
Ak(a, b) = ±f∈ C([0, a],R+) : τ f sgn(k)ssgn(k)a=b
1{k<0}2kb,(12)
with sgn(k) being the sign of k. Note that Ak,is the set of continuous functions which are of
constant sign on some nonempty interval [0, l], l > 0. Let the isomorphic nonlinear operators Λk
and Σkbe defined, on Ak,, by
Λkf(t) = eks(t)f(s(t)) (13)
and
Σk= Λk1ΣΛk,(14)
respectively. Note that the inverse of Λkis Λ1
kf(t) = ektf(r(t)). Here, Λkmaps the curves
from the OU setting to the corresponding curves in the BM setting, with limits limk0Λk=Id,
and limk0Σk= Σ. From (14), we can immediately see that Σkcan also be represented as
Σkf(t) = eτ f (r(t))kt
f(ρτf (r(t))).(15)
Inspired by (8) in the BM setting, for αRand βR, define Sα,β
k:Ak,Ak,by
Sα,β
k= ΣkΠα,βΣk.(16)
4
Alternatively, Sα,β
kcan be also obtained as Λ1
kSα,β Λk, as shown in the proof of Lemma 4.1.
This result provides us with an intuitive interpretation of this family of transformations. First,
we map the boundary ffor the OU process to its corresponding boundary for the standard BM
using the Λktransformation. Then, we use Sα,β on this curve for the standard BM, and finally
we revert it back to the OU problem via Λ1
k, as illustrated in the following figure.
OU f(t)1+αβr(t)
αq2kα2r(t)
1+αβr(t)+ 1 ekt fsα2r(t)
1+αβr(t)
BM 2kt + 1f(s(t)) 1+αβt
αq2kα2t
1+αβt + 1 fsα2t
1+αβt 
Sα,β
k
Λk
Sα,β
Λ1
k
Figure 1: Flow chart of Sα,β
k.
2.3 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridges
As mentioned in the introduction, Sα,β
kfor specific values of αand βrelates to a representa-
tion of the standard OU bridge. We shall now define this process and then recall its different
representations, using the detailed analysis of both Wiener and OU bridges provided in [5, 11].
Definition 2.1. An OU bridge Ubr ={Ubr
t:t[0, T ]}from a to b, of length T, is characterised
by the following properties:
(i) Ubr
0=aand Ubr
T=b(each with probability 1).
(ii) Ubr is a Gaussian process.
(iii) E[Ubr
t] = asinh (k(Tt))
sinh (kt)+bsinh (kt)
sinh (kT ).
(iv) Cov(Ubr
s, Ubr
t) = sinh (ks) sinh (k(Tt))
ksinh (kT ),0st<T.
(v) The paths of Ubr are almost surely continuous.
In what follows, we present three different representations of OU bridges. First, consider the
following linear SDE
dUbr
t=kcoth (k(Tt))Ubr
t+kb
sinh (k(Tt))dt +dBt,0t < T, (17)
with initial condition Ubr
0=a. This has a unique strong solution given by
Uir
t:= (asinh (k(Tt))
sinh (kT )+bsinh (kt)
sinh (kT )+Rt
0
sinh (k(Tt))
sinh (k(Ts)) dBsif 0 t < T,
bif t=T.
This is referred to as the integral representation (ir) of the OU bridge. The following anticipative
(av) and the space-time (st) versions can be obtained by using the different representations of
the Wiener bridge,
Uav
t=asinh (k(Tt))
sinh (kT )+bsinh (kt)
sinh (kT )+Utsinh (kt)
sinh (kT )UT,0t < T,
5
摘要:

BOUNDARYCROSSINGPROBLEMSANDFUNCTIONALTRANSFORMATIONSFORORNSTEIN-UHLENBECKPROCESSESAriaAhari1∗,LarbiAlili1†,MassimilianoTamborrino1‡1DepartmentofStatistics,UniversityofWarwick,Coventry,CV47AL,UnitedKingdom.AbstractWeareinterestedinthelawofthefirstpassagetimeofanOrnstein-Uhlenbeckprocesstotime-varying...

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