
the previous winter had chilled United States-Soviet relations to below zero, quickly followed by the
collapse and national disgrace of the CIA plot to assassinate Polish Liberation leaders.
We are on the edge of the point of no return, the president thought, and he felt an awful urge to laugh,
but he concentrated on keeping his lips tightly sealed. His mind was grappling with an intricate web of
reports and opinions that led to a terrible conclusion: the Soviet Union was preparing a first strike that
would utterly destroy the United States of America.
“Sir?” Hannan broke the uneasy silence. “Admiral Narramore has the next report. Admiral?”
Another folder was unsealed. Admiral Narramore, a gaunt, wiry-looking man in his mid-sixties, began
to go over the classified data: “At 1912 hours, British recon helicopters off the guided missile destroyer
Fife dropped sonobuoys that verified the presence of six unidentified submarines seventy-three miles
north of Bermuda, bearing three hundred degrees. If those subs are closing on the northeastern coast,
they’re already within strike range of New York City, Newport News, air bases on the eastern
seaboard, the White House and the Pentagon.” He gazed across the table at the president, his eyes
smoky gray under thick white brows. The White House was fifty feet above their heads. “If six were
picked up,” he said, “you can rely on the fact that Ivan’s got at least three times that many out there.
They can deliver several hundred warheads within five to nine minutes of launch.” He turned the page.
“As of an hour ago, the twelve Delta II-class Soviet subs two hundred and sixty miles northwest of San
Francisco were still holding their position.”
The president felt dazed, as if this all were a waking dream. Think! he told himself. Damn you, think!
“Where are our submarines, Admiral?” he heard himself ask, in what might have been a stranger’s voice.
Narramore called up another computer map on the wall screen. It displayed a line of blinking dots
about two hundred miles northeast of Murmansk, U.S.S.R. Calling up a second map brought the Baltic
Sea onto the screen, and another deployment of nuclear subs northwest of Riga. A third map showed the
Russian east coast, a line of submarines in position in the Bering Sea between Alaska and the Soviet
mainland. “We’ve got Ivan in an iron ring,” Narramore said. “Give us the word and we’ll sink anything
that tries to break through.”
“I think the picture’s very clear.” Hannan’s voice was quiet and firm. “We’ve got to back the Soviets
off.”
The president was silent, trying to put together logical thoughts. The palms of his hands were
sweating. “What… if they’re not planning a first strike? What if they believe we are? If we show force,
might it not push them over the edge?”
Hannan took a cigarette from a silver case and lit it. Again the president’s eyes were drawn to the
flame. “Sir,” Hannan replied softly, as if speaking to a retarded child, “if the Soviets respect anything, it’s
force. You know that as well as every man in this room, especially since the Persian Gulf incident. They
want territory, and they’re prepared to destroy us and to take their share of casualties to get it. Hell, their
economy is worse than ours! They’re going to keep pushing us until we either break or strike—and if we
delay until we break, God help us.”
“No.” The president shook his head. They’d been over this many times, and the idea sickened him.
“No. We will not deliver a first strike.”
“The Soviets,” Hannan continued patiently, “understand the diplomacy of the fist. I’m not saying I
think we should destroy the Soviet Union. But I do believe—fervently—that now is the time to tell them,
and decisively, that we’ll not be pushed, and we won’t let their nuclear submarines sit off our shores
waiting for launch codes!”