Maximum likelihood estimation of distribution grid topology and parameters from smart meter data 1stLisa Laurent

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Maximum likelihood estimation of distribution grid
topology and parameters from smart meter data
1st Lisa Laurent
Institute of Electrical Engineering
EPFL
Lausanne, Switzerland
lisa.laurent@epfl.ch
2nd Jean-S´
ebastien Brouillon
Institute of Mechanical Engineering
EPFL
Lausanne, Switzerland
jean-sebastien.brouillon@epfl.ch
3rd Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate
Institute of Mechanical Engineering
EPFL
Lausanne, Switzerland
giancarlo.ferraritrecate@epfl.ch
Abstract—This paper defines a Maximum Likelihood Estima-
tor (MLE) for the admittance matrix estimation of distribution
grids, utilising voltage magnitude and power measurements
collected only from common, unsychronised measuring devices
(Smart Meters). First, we present a model of the grid, as well
as the existing MLE based on voltage and current phasor
measurements. Then, this problem formulation is adjusted for
phase-less measurements using common assumptions. The effect
of these assumptions is compared to the initial problem in various
scenarios. Finally, numerical experiments on a popular IEEE
benchmark network indicate promising results. Missing data can
greatly disrupt estimation methods. Not measuring the voltage
phase only adds 30% of error to the admittance matrix estimate
in realistic conditions. Moreover, the sensitivity to measurement
noise is similar with and without the phase.
I. INTRODUCTION
New intermittent energy agents in distribution network
e.g. wind, solar, storage and controllable loads, bring major
changes into the grid operations and planning. In the past,
power generation used to be centralised which implies unidi-
rectional electrical power flows from higher to lower voltage
levels. Today, grids are evolving towards decentralised energy
generation and bi-directional flows. Although it offers the
possibility of better optimising the power flows in the network,
it requires a better knowledge of the grid topology and line
parameters, which are contained in the admittance matrix.
However, obtaining an exact estimation of this matrix remains
difficult since the admittances can either be unavailable or
deviate from their exact values due to topology changes or
external factors, such as faults.
The recent installation of numerous sensors in distribu-
tion grids has developed interest for automatic, data-driven
approaches to identify the admittance matrix. Most of the
recent contributions require measurements from micro Phasor
Measurement Units (µPMUs) [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]. However, today’s
grid measurements mainly come from Smart Meters, which
measure the nodal active and reactive power injection as
well as the nodal voltage magnitude without requiring time
synchronisation. Micro-PMUs, in contrast, use a GPS signal
to measure the phase angles between each nodes precisely. The
aforementioned studies show that parameters identification,
Research supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation under the
NCCR Automation (grant agreement 51NF40 180545).
even with synchronised data, is a very challenging task.
Moreover, an accurate measurement of voltages is crucial as
their variations are very small compared to the rated value,
which means that any erroneous or missing measurement can
quickly make the identification problem ill-posed.
Only few papers address the grid parameters estimation
problem using Smart Meters, and they are all based on
Ordinary Least-Squares (OLS) regressions [6, 7, 8]. In order
to refine the parameters identified with OLS, the works [7]
and [8] use a Newton-Raphson method, which relies heavily
on tuned constants and initial point, often leading to case-
dependent results. Moreover, the authors of [6] and [7] use a
noise on voltage measurements that may be highly correlated
to the signal, and [8] does not specify how this noise is
generated. Finally, [8] uses a mix of µPMUs and Smart Meters
which is realistic at medium-high voltages but not at low
voltages.
The aim of this paper is to provide a frequentist approach to
the identification problem with Smart Meter data, independent
from tuning parameters requiring knowledge of the system.
To do so, we will adapt the Maximum Likelihood Estimator
(MLE) from [4] because it is a statistically efficient and
unbiased estimator. In addition, it allows the use of prior
knowledge, if present, in a mathematically supported way
through a Bayesian framework. The main contribution of this
paper is the reformulation of the MLE when the phase is
unknown using the linearised power-flow equations.
The paper is organised as follows. First, a grid model is
presented to formally define the admittance matrix, then the
Maximum Likelihood Estimator problem is stated. The latter is
then transformed to adapt to Smart Meter measurements. Then,
the necessary approximations are discussed by comparing
them theoretically with the power flow equations. Finally,
a case study is conducted on the IEEE 33 bus benchmark
network to verify the theoretical results and to study the effect
of various noise levels.
A. Preliminaries and notations
Let j=1denote the imaginary unit. For xC,xis its
complex conjugate. xRndenotes a vector, XRm×nde-
notes a matrix of size m-by-nand XTis its transpose. Im×n
is the m-by-nidentity matrix. For a (m, n)matrix X, ||X||Fis
arXiv:2210.02217v1 [eess.SY] 5 Oct 2022
摘要:

Maximumlikelihoodestimationofdistributiongridtopologyandparametersfromsmartmeterdata1stLisaLaurentInstituteofElectricalEngineeringEPFLLausanne,Switzerlandlisa.laurent@ep.ch2ndJean-S´ebastienBrouillonInstituteofMechanicalEngineeringEPFLLausanne,Switzerlandjean-sebastien.brouillon@ep.ch3rdGiancarloF...

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