1 New financial ratios based on the compositional data methodology Salvador Linares -Mustarós a Maria Àngels Farreras -Noguer a

2025-04-30 0 0 581.24KB 19 页 10玖币
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New financial ratios based on the compositional data methodology
Salvador Linares-Mustarós a, , Maria Àngels Farreras-Noguer a,
ria Arimany-Serrat b, Germà Coenders c
a Department of Business Administration, University of Girona, Carrer Universitat de Girona, 10,
17071, Girona, Spain
b Department of Economics and Business, University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia, Carrer
de la Sagrada Família, 7, 08500 Vic, Barcelona
c Department of Economics, University of Girona, Carrer Universitat de Girona, 10, 17071, Girona,
Spain
Abstract: Due to their type of mathematical construction, the use of standard financial ratios in
studies analysing the financial health of a group of firms leads to a series of statistical problems that
can invalidate the results obtained. These problems are originated by the asymmetry of financial
ratios. The present article justifies the use of a new methodology using compositional data (CoDa) to
analyse the financial statements of a sector, improving analyses using conventional ratios since the
new methodology enables statistical techniques to be applied without encountering any serious
drawbacks such as skewness and outliers, and without the results depending on the arbitrary choice
as to which of the accounting figures is the numerator of the ratio and which is the denominator. An
example with data of the wine sector is provided. The results show that when using CoDa, outliers
and skewness are much reduced and results are invariant to numerator and denominator permutation.
Keywords: financial ratios; management ratios; compositional data (CoDa); financial performance;
sectoral analysis.
1. Introduction
While standard financial ratios help to accurately evaluate the financial statements of firms and
corporations at an individual level (Whittington, 1980; Barnes, 1987, Bernstein, 1993; Gallizo,
2005), unfortunately when they are used as variables in statistical analyses of the financial health of a
sector, the reliability of the results of these diagnoses cannot be accepted as valid given that, as this
study will show, the loss of symmetry produced when defining standard financial ratios causes
potentially significant distortions when analysing financial health. Although this asymmetry in
financial ratios has been known for some time (Lev and Sunder, 1979; Cowen and Hoffer 1982;
Mcleay and Omar, 2000), it has not received due attention from the area of accounting, despite the
serious problem of it casting doubt on the results of multiple current studies that use standard ratios
as variables (Fernández-Olmosá et al., 2009; Hammervoll et al., 2014; Newton et al., 2015; Delord et
al., 2015; Lorenzo et al., 2018). The statistical problems of ratios have also been reported in other
Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: salvador.linares@udg.edu (S. Linares-Mustarós), angels.farreras@udg.edu (M.A. Farreras-Noguer), nuria.arimany@uvic.cat (N.
Arimany-Serrat), germa.coenders@udg.edu (G. Coenders)
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scientific fields (Isles, 2020). The present article aims to correct this fact by providing a detailed
explanation of the reason for this problem, which is also the root cause of other identified and related
problems such as the emergence of spurious outliers (So, 1987; Watson, 1990; CreixansTenas et al.,
2019), and by showing how the results obtained are incoherent if ratios where the numerator and the
denominator are permuted are used (Frecka and Hopwood, 1983; Linares–Mustarós et al., 2018;
Creixans-Tenas et al., 2019).
In the first part of this article, a mathematic counterexample will be used to evidence the serious
drawbacks of using standard financial ratios in statistical studies of economic sectors. Once the
danger of incurring serious methodological problems when using standard financial ratios in this
type of study has been explained, a new type of financial ratios based on the methodology of
compositional data analysis, or simply compositional data (CoDa), will be suggested, the validity of
the results of which has already been extensively tested in other fields (Aitchison, 1986; Pawlowsky-
Glahn and Buccianti, 2011; Van den Boogaart and Tolosana-Delgado, 2013; Pawlowsky-Glahn et
al., 2015; Filzmoser et al., 2018; Greenacre, 2018). While the CoDa methodology emerged from the
fields of geometry and chemistry at the end of the last century (Aitchison, 1982; 1986), it has since
been extended to all the other scientific fields of study, including economics and other social
sciences (Coenders and Ferrer-Rosell, 2020), and has started to be regularly used in studies in the
area of finance (Voltes-Dorta et al., 2014; Ortells et al., 2016; Belles-Sampera et al., 2016; Davis et
al., 2017; Verbelen et al., 2018; Boonen et al., 2019; Kokoszka et al., 2019; Wang et al., 2019;
Gámez-Velázquez and Coenders, 2020; Maldonado et al., 2021a; 2021b; Porro, 2022; Vega-Baquero
and Santolino, 2022), and, more recently, in the area of accounting (Linares-Mustarós et al., 2018;
Creixans-Tenas et al., 2019; Carreras-Simó and Coenders, 2020; 2021; Saus-Sala et al., 2021;
Arimany-Serrat et al., 2022). The present article aims to show that the CoDa approach can be used in
the accounting field ensuring the validity of results, and to provide the research community in
finance and accounting with a reasoned case for using a new methodology to analyse the financial
statements in a sector. To achieve this end, the study concludes with a simple example of an analysis
of the financial statements of the wine sector in a European country, which shows the invalidity of
the results obtained using the traditional methodology and how the proposed methodology avoids the
abovementioned problems.
Based on the line of argument presented, this study is organised in three main sections. Section 2
focuses on showing the serious problems arising from the use of standard ratios in sectoral studies,
which result from the lack of symmetry of ratios and can lead to the invalidity of the results of the
analysis. Financial ratios based on the CoDa methodology are presented in section 3 as possible
candidates to replace standard or conventional financial ratios. Section 4 presents a research example
in the wine sector comparing the use of conventional and compositional ratios, which aims to show
the need to change from the usual working methodology in sectoral studies based on standard
financial ratios by exposing the significant discrepancies in the two sets of results. Sections 5 and 6
present the discussion and conclusions, respectively.
2. Theory. The problem of the asymmetry of standard ratios. The appearance of spurious
outliers
This section explains in detail why methodological works that use standard financial ratios as
variables in sectoral statistical analyses cannot be considered as valid. To this end, the starting point
is the fictitious data of a group of ten firms, the values of two accounting magnitudes of which are
given in the first two columns of Table 1.
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Table 1.
Artificial data of a ten-firm sector.
Magnitude 1
Magnitude 2
α
Mg 2
Mg 1
Mg 1
Mg 2
Firm 1
0.5
4
~82.875 (=45+37.875)
8
0.125
Firm 2
1.5
3
~63.435 (=45+18.435)
2
0.5
Firm 3
1.5
2.5
~59.035 (=45+14.035)
1. 6
0.6
Firm 4
1.8
3
~59.035 (=45+14.035)
1. 6
0.6
Firm 5
1.5
1.5
~45 (=45+0)
1
1
Firm 6
3
3
~45 (=45-0)
1
1
Firm 7
3
1.8
~30.965 (=45-14.035)
0.6
1. 6
Firm 8
2.5
1.5
~30.965 (=45-14.035)
0.6
1. 6
Firm 9
3
1.5
~26.565 (=45-18.435)
0.5
2
Firm 10
4
0.5
~7.125 (=45-37.875)
0.125
8
Given that this section focuses on the problems related to asymmetry, the data Magnitude 1 and
Magnitude 2 in Table 1 are represented graphically in Cartesian coordinates. A look at Figure 1
shows that the magnitudes recorded in Table 1 are chosen because they are symmetrical with respect
to the 45º angle in the computation of the angles α of the rays that start at the origin and pass through
the points, as shown in Figure 2. This symmetry is reflected in the column headed α in Table 1.
Fig. 1. Graphical representation of the ten firms in Table 1 (E1 to E10).
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Fig. 2. Angles (α) of the ten firms (E1 to E10).
The column in Table 1 headed “Mg2/Mg1” contains the values of the ratio Magnitude
2/Magnitude 1. The same ratio values in this column for firms 3 and 4 and firms 7 and 8 are justified
by firms with proportional magnitudes having the same ratio.
Geometrically, the ratio Magnitude 2 / Magnitude 1 can be interpreted as the tangent of the angle
α formed between the abscissa axis and the ray that starts at the origin of coordinates and joins all the
points with the same ratio value, as can be observed in Figure 3.
Fig. 3. Graphical relationship between the tangent of an angle and the different points on the ray that starts from the
origin of coordinates (tan(α) can be written as
or
).
Consequently, given that two points (a,b) and (A,B) that share the same ray starting from the
origin of coordinates always fulfil the expression b/a = B/A, in the case that a = 1, b = B/A. This fact
shows that the ratio Magnitude 2 / Magnitude 1 can be interpreted geometrically as the height of the
cut-off point of the ray with the line of equation x=1, as shown in Figure 4.
摘要:

1NewfinancialratiosbasedonthecompositionaldatamethodologySalvadorLinares-Mustarósa,∗,MariaÀngelsFarreras-Noguera,NúriaArimany-Serratb,GermàCoenderscaDepartmentofBusinessAdministration,UniversityofGirona,CarrerUniversitatdeGirona,10,17071,Girona,SpainbDepartmentofEconomicsandBusiness,UniversityofVic-...

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