
Richard habitually took refuge in numbers, so it troubled him that with regard to the
Impact all he had was approximations. The number of dead had never been counted. Their
names had never been accurately listed. Their families would never be notified; in many cases,
their bodies would never be found.
The population of Niagara and Rochester, New York, had been just under three million
people, although the New York coastline of Lake Ontario was mostly rural, vineyards and cow
pasture. The northern rim of the lake, however, had been the most populated place in Canada:
Ontario's “Golden Horseshoe,” the urban corridor anchored by Toronto and Hamilton, which
had still been home to some seven million despite the midcentury population dip. Deaths from
the Impact and its aftermath had been confirmed as far away as Buffalo, Cleveland, Albany. A
woman in Ottawa had died when a stained-glass window shattered from the shock and fell on
her head; a child in Kitchener survived in a basement, along with his dog. Recovery teams
dragging the poisoned waters of Lake Ontario had been forced to cease operations as the lake
surface iced over, a phenomenon that once would have been a twice-in-a-century occurrence
but had become common with the advent of Shifted winters. It would become more common
still until the greenhouse effect triggered by the Impact began to cancel out the nuclear winter.
An icebreaker could have been brought in and the work continued, but things keep in cold
water. And someone raised the specter of breaking ice with bodies frozen into it, and it was
decided to wait until spring.
The ice didn't melt until halfway through May, and the lake locked solid again in
mid-September. The coming winter promised to be even colder, a savage global drop in
temperatures that might persist another eighteen to twenty-four months, and Richard couldn't
say whether the eventual worldwide toll would be measured in the mere tens of millions or in
the hundreds of millions. Preliminary estimates had placed Impact casualties at thirty million;
Richard was inclined to a more conservative estimate of under twenty million, unevenly
divided between Canada and the United States.
In practical terms, the casualty rate by January 1, 2063, was something like one in every
twenty-five Americans and one in every three Canadians.
The fallout cloud from the thirteen nuclear reactors damaged or destroyed in the Impact
was pushed northeast by prevailing wind currents, largely affecting New York, Quebec,
Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Newfoundland, the Grand Banks, Prince Edward Island,
Iceland, and points between. The emergency teams and medical staff attending the disaster
victims were supplied with iodine tablets and given aggressive prophylaxis against radiation
exposure. Only seventeen became seriously ill. Only six died.
It was too soon to tell what the long-term effect on cancer rates would be, but Richard
expected New England's dairy industry to fail completely, along with what bare scraps had
remained of the once-vast North Atlantic fisheries.
And then, after the famines and the winter, would come a summer without end.
Colonel Valens's hands hurt, but his eyes hurt more. He leaned forward on both elbows
over his improvised desk, his holistic communications unit propped up on a pair of inflatable
splints and the unergonomic portable interface plate unrolled across a plywood surface that
was three centimeters too high for comfort. “Yes,” he said, rubbing the back of his neck, “I'll